Central Arkansas
W-L: ( 7- 9) PR = 92.1783Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 208 A Sam Houston CUSA (29-27, 91.6) 4- 6 213 A Troy SB (31-20, 92.8) 0- 8 225 A Ole Miss SEC (35-26, 95.3) 2-10 227 A Louisiana Tech CUSA (28-24, 92.8) 10- 2 301 A Louisiana Tech CUSA (28-24, 92.8) 3- 6 301 A Louisiana Tech CUSA (28-24, 92.8) 3- 6 304 H Tulsa AC (20-31, 91.8) 3- 2 306 H Chattanooga SO ( 3-11, 88.4) 12- 4 306 H UL Monroe SB (36-21, 92.6) 4- 2 308 H Chattanooga SO ( 3-11, 88.4) 10- 2 308 H UL Monroe SB (36-21, 92.6) 3- 0 310 A UL Monroe SB (36-21, 92.6) 4- 3 317 A Arkansas SEC (48-12, 99.7) 2-10 324 H Arkansas SEC (48-12, 99.7) 2-11 401 H Ole Miss SEC (35-26, 95.3) 0- 5 407 A LSU SEC (37-21, 97.0) 1- 9
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
208 A Sam Houston 4- 6 -2 0 -1.79
213 A Troy 0- 8 -8 -1 --- -6.68
225 A Ole Miss 2-10 -8 -4 -- -4.14
227 A Louisiana Tech 10- 2 8 -1 +++ 9.35
301 A Louisiana Tech 3- 6 -3 -1 -1.65
301 A Louisiana Tech 3- 6 -3 -1 -1.65
304 H Tulsa 3- 2 1 1 -0.08
306 H Chattanooga 12- 4 8 4 + 3.53
306 H UL Monroe 4- 2 2 0 1.72
308 H Chattanooga 10- 2 8 4 + 3.53
308 H UL Monroe 3- 0 3 0 + 2.72
310 A UL Monroe 4- 3 1 -1 + 2.20
317 A Arkansas 2-10 -8 -8 0.23
324 H Arkansas 2-11 -9 -7 - -2.25
401 H Ole Miss 0- 5 -5 -2 - -2.62
407 A LSU 1- 9 -8 -6 - -2.41
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 213 A Troy 0- 8 -8 -1 --- -6.68 225 A Ole Miss 2-10 -8 -4 -- -4.14 324 H Arkansas 2-11 -9 -7 - -2.25 401 H Ole Miss 0- 5 -5 -2 - -2.62 407 A LSU 1- 9 -8 -6 - -2.41 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 227 A Louisiana Tech 10- 2 8 -1 +++ 9.35 306 H Chattanooga 12- 4 8 4 + 3.53 308 H Chattanooga 10- 2 8 4 + 3.53 308 H UL Monroe 3- 0 3 0 + 2.72 310 A UL Monroe 4- 3 1 -1 + 2.20 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Sam Houston (29-27, 91.6) 4- 6 -8.26 11.11 0.74 1.58 -5.92
3 A Troy (31-20, 92.8) 0- 8 -7.14 12.23 0.74 1.58 -5.04
3 A Ole Miss (35-26, 95.3) 2-10 -4.60 14.77 0.74 1.58 -3.04
3 A Louisiana Tech (28-24, 92.8) 10- 2 -7.11 12.26 0.74 1.58 40.96
3 A Louisiana Tech (28-24, 92.8) 3- 6 -7.11 12.26 0.74 1.58 -5.02
3 A Louisiana Tech (28-24, 92.8) 3- 6 -7.11 12.26 0.74 1.58 -5.02
3 H Tulsa (20-31, 91.8) 3- 2 -8.06 11.31 -0.74 1.58 33.29
3 H Chattanooga ( 3-11, 88.4) 12- 4 -11.45 7.92 -0.74 1.58 22.60
3 H UL Monroe (36-21, 92.6) 4- 2 -7.26 12.11 -0.74 1.58 35.81
3 H Chattanooga ( 3-11, 88.4) 10- 2 -11.45 7.92 -0.74 1.58 22.60
3 H UL Monroe (36-21, 92.6) 3- 0 -7.26 12.11 -0.74 1.58 35.81
3 A UL Monroe (36-21, 92.6) 4- 3 -7.26 12.11 0.74 1.58 40.49
3 A Arkansas (48-12, 99.7) 2-10 -0.23 19.14 0.74 1.58 -0.40
3 H Arkansas (48-12, 99.7) 2-11 -0.23 19.14 -0.74 1.58 -0.77
3 H Ole Miss (35-26, 95.3) 0- 5 -4.60 14.77 -0.74 1.58 -4.21
3 A LSU (37-21, 97.0) 1- 9 -2.88 16.49 0.74 1.58 -1.68
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200.48
|
winning pts = 231.5705 losing points = -31.0953
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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